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Vital Climate Graphics :
Potential Impacts
of Climate Change
Next: Impact of
temperature rise on robusta coffee in Uganda

34. The figure shows change in cereals production under three
different GCM equilibrium scenarios (percent from base estimated in
2060). While there are still uncertainties about whether climate
change will cause global agricultural production to increase or
decrease, changes in the aggregate level of production are expected to
be small or moderate. The result of the studies that have been
conducted so far vary depending on such variables as the trade models
and market assumptions that are used.For example, the difference
between agricultural impacts in developed and developing countries can
be reinforced by markets and depending on the trade model used,
agricultural exporters may gain even though their supplies fall as a
result of higher world prices.
The figure also illustrates how trade and adaptation capability can
interact. Developing country production levels fell more as compared
with those of developed countries under adaptation level 1 because
their estimated capability to adapt was less than in developed
countries. The situation reverses under adaptation level 2.
Next: Impact of
temperature rise on robusta coffee in Uganda
Vital Climate Graphics :
Potential Impacts
of Climate Change
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