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Vital Climate Graphics :
Potential Impacts
of Climate Change
Next: Projected
Changes in Global Temperature

20. Projected anthropogenic CO2 emissions from fossil fuel use,
deforestation and cement production are shown for some of the IPCC
emission scenarios. The highest emission scenario - IS92e - assumes
moderate population growth, high economic growth, high fossil fuel
availability, and a phase out of nuclear power; and the lowest
emission scenario - IS92c - assumes low population growth, low
economic growth, and severe constraints on fossil fuel supplies.
Understanding how CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere will change in
the future requires carbon cycle models which model the relationship
between emissions and atmospheric concentrations. The estimated CO2
concentration in the atmosphere for each emission scenario (calculated
using the Bern model) is shown in the second figure. All scenarioes
show increased concentrations that are well above pre-industrial
levels by 2100 (75 to 220% higher).
Climate induced environmental changes cannot be reversed quickly. Even
if the anthropogenic emissions of CO2 are stabilized or reduced, the
CO2 content in the atmosphere will still increase for some time.
Next: Projected
Changes in Global Temperature
Vital Climate Graphics :
Potential Impacts
of Climate Change
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