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Vital Climate Graphics :
Potential Impacts
of Climate Change
Next: Sensitivity, Adaptability and
Vulnerability

22. Using the IS92 emission scenarios, projected global mean sea level
increases relative to 1990 were calculated up to 2100. Taking into
account the ranges in the estimate of climate sensitivity and ice melt
parameters, and the full set of IS92 emission scenarios, the models
project an increase in global mean sea level of between 13 and 94 cm.
During the fist half of the next century, the choice of emission
scenario has relatively little effect on the projected sea level rise
due to the large thermal inertia of the ocean-ice-atmosphere climate
system, but has increasingly larger effects in the later part of the
next century. In addition, because of the thermal inertia of the
oceans, sea level would continue to rise for many centuries beyond
2100 even if concentrations of greenhouse gases were stabilized at
that time.
Next: Sensitivity, Adaptability and
Vulnerability
Vital Climate Graphics :
Potential Impacts
of Climate Change
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