The
neoconservative Bush administration will attack Iran with
tactical nuclear weapons, because it is the only way the neocons
believe they can rescue their goal of U.S. (and Israeli)
hegemony in the Middle East.
The U.S. has lost the war in Iraq and in Afghanistan. Generals
in both war theaters are stating their need for more troops. But
there are no troops to send.
Bush has tried to
pawn Afghanistan off on NATO, but Europe does not see any point
in sacrificing its blood and money for the sake of American
hegemony. The NATO troops in Afghanistan are experiencing
substantial casualties from a revived Taliban, and European
governments are not enthralled over providing cannon fodder for
U.S. hegemony.
The "coalition of the willing" has evaporated. Indeed, it never
existed. Bush's "coalition" was assembled with bribes, threats,
and intimidation. Pervez Musharraf, the American puppet ruler of
Pakistan, let the cat out of the bag when he told CBS' 60
Minutes on Sept. 24, 2006, that Pakistan had no choice about
joining the "coalition." Brute coercion was applied. Musharraf
said Assistant Secretary of State Richard Armitage told the
Pakistani intelligence director that "you are with us" or "be
prepared to be bombed. Be prepared to go back to the Stone Age."
Armitage is trying to deny his threat, but Dawn Wire Service,
reporting from Islamabad on Sept. 16, 2001, on the pressure Bush
was putting on Musharraf to facilitate the U.S. attack on
Afghanistan, stated: "'Pakistan has the option to live in the
21st century or the Stone Age' is roughly how U.S. officials are
putting their case."
That Musharraf would volunteer this information on American
television is a good indication that Bush has lost the war.
Musharraf can no longer withstand the anger he has created
against himself by helping the U.S. slaughter his fellow Muslims
in Bush's attempt to exercise U.S. hegemony over the Muslim
world. Bush cannot protect Musharraf from the wrath of
Pakistanis, and so Musharraf has explained himself as having
cooperated with Bush in order to prevent the U.S. destruction of
Pakistan: "One has to think and take actions in the interest of
the nation, and that's what I did." Nevertheless, he said, he
refused Bush's "ludicrous" demand that he arrest Pakistanis who
publicly demonstrated against the U.S.: "If somebody's
expressing views, we cannot curb the expression of views."
Bush's defeats in Iraq and Afghanistan and Israel's defeat by
Hezbollah in Lebanon have shown that the military firepower of
the U.S. and Israeli armies, though effective against massed
Arab armies, cannot defeat guerillas and insurgencies. The U.S.
has battled in Iraq longer than it fought against Nazi Germany,
and the situation in Iraq is out of control. The Taliban have
regained half of Afghanistan. The king of Saudi Arabia has told
Bush that the ground is shaking under his feet as unrest over
the American/Israeli violence against Muslims builds to
dangerous levels. Our Egyptian puppet sits atop 100 million
Muslims who do not think that Egypt should be a lackey of U.S.
hegemony. The king of Jordan understands that Israeli policy is
to drive every Palestinian into Jordan.
Bush is incapable of recognizing his mistake. He can only
escalate. Plans have long been made to attack Iran. The problem
is that Iran can respond in effective ways to a conventional
attack. Moreover, an American attack on another Muslim country
could result in turmoil and rebellion throughout the Middle
East. This is why the neocons have changed U.S. war doctrine to
permit a nuclear strike on Iran.
Neocons believe that a nuclear attack on Iran would have
intimidating force throughout the Middle East and beyond. Iran
would not dare retaliate, neocons believe, against U.S. ships,
U.S. troops in Iraq, or use their missiles against oil
facilities in the Middle East.
Neocons have also concluded that a U.S. nuclear strike on Iran
would show the entire Muslim world that it is useless to resist
America's will. Neocons say that even the most fanatical
terrorists would realize the hopelessness of resisting U.S.
hegemony. The vast multitude of Muslims would realize that they
have no recourse but to accept their fate.
Revised U.S. war doctrine concludes that tactical or low-yield
nuclear weapons cause relatively little "collateral damage" or
civilian deaths, while achieving a powerful intimidating effect
on the enemy. The "fear factor" disheartens the enemy and
shortens the conflict.
University of California Professor Jorge Hirsch, an authority on
nuclear doctrine, believes that an American nuclear attack on
Iran will destroy the Nonproliferation Treaty and send countries
in pell-mell pursuit of nuclear weapons. We will see powerful
nuclear alliances, such as Russia/China, form against us. Japan
could be so traumatized by an American nuclear attack on Iran
that it would mean the end of Japan's sycophantic relationship
to the U.S.
There can be little doubt that the aggressive U.S. use of nukes
in pursuit of hegemony would make America a pariah country,
despised and distrusted by every other country. Neocons believe
that diplomacy is feeble and useless, but that the unapologetic
use of force brings forth cooperation in order to avoid
destruction.
Neoconservatives say that America is the new Rome, only more
powerful than Rome. Neoconservatives genuinely believe that no
one can withstand the might of the United States and that
America can rule by force alone.
Hirsch believes that the U.S. military's opposition to the use
of nuclear weapons against Iran has been overcome by the
civilian neocon authorities in the Bush administration.
Desperate to retrieve their drive toward hegemony from defeat in
Iraq, the neocons are betting on the immense attraction to the
American public of force plus success. It is possible that Bush
will be blocked by Europe, Russia, and China, but there is no
visible American opposition to Bush legitimizing the use of
nuclear weapons at the behest of U.S. hegemony.
It is astounding that such dangerous fanatics have control of
the U.S. government and have no organized opposition in American
politics.
Dr. Roberts is Chairman of the Institute for Political Economy
and Research Fellow at the Independent Institute. He is a former
associate editor of the Wall Street Journal, former contributing
editor for National Review, and was Assistant Secretary of the
Treasury in the Reagan administration. He is the co-author of
The Tyranny of Good Intentions.

Copyright © 2006 Creators Syndicat